BJP
leader Narendra Modi's electoral campaigns seems to have worked. Exit
poll result show that the BJP-led NDA is likely to sweep the 2014
general elections.
In
case the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) muster the
majority in Parliament then Narendra Modi will become the next prime
minister of the country. And is the exit poll results are any
indications then Narendra Modi to close to Delhi.
The
party which alone or in alliance gets a majority of 272 seats in the
Lower House of Parliament will form a government. However, the magic
number is quite often achieved by taking outside support from
regional parties.
Most
of the exit poll predictions suggested that the BJP would get its
highest ever tally. The pollsters revealed that the BJP is likely to
win a little more than 200 to just below 300 seats. Also most exit
poll results predicted the worst ever election performance by the
Congress party.
According
to the News 24-Today's Chanakya poll predicted the BJP tally to be
291 seats and gave the NDA 340 seats. In case the prediction of this
research group proves to be true then it would be the first time that
the BJP would be getting a majority on its own after 1984.
The
C-Voter, the NDA is expected to win 289 seats, with only 101 seats
for the Congress-led United
Progressive Alliance
(UPA).
Results of this research group are based on a randomly
selected sample of 166,901 respondents in 543 Lok Sabha seats that
went into polls this election. The C-Voter claims that the margin of
error is likely to be +\-3 % on a national basis.
Times
Now-ORG poll suggested that the NDA is likely to win 249 to 265
seats, a little short from the majority number of 272 that is quite
achieable.
The
Exit poll by Cicero for the India Today group predicted the NDA to
win between 261 and 283 seats.
According
to the pollsters' Congress tally were also quite varied. The News24
poll attributed only 57 seats, while the Times Now poll predicted the
party to win around 138 seats. If the Congress manages to win a mere
57 seats, then it would be a historic low for the party since the
country's independence.
Predictions
of the Exit poll results are not always correct as was the case in
2004, when pollsters predicted the NDA to form the third successive
government at the centre. Pollsters, however, have also been right,
in the last assembly elections held in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and
Chhattisgarh their results were correct.
Only
when the election results would be declared on May 16 that the
accuracy of the present exit polls will be established.
(AW:
Pratima Tigga)
No comments:
Post a Comment